The Fiber to the Home Council commissioned a study issued this week that concludes tax incentives to spur the deployment of fiber optics to the premises (FTTP) would generate more than 200,000 jobs in each of the next three years (2009-11) and increase economic output by more than $100 billion during the period. The report examines the economic impact of allowing builders of broadband infrastructure to fully depreciate their investments and authorizing private and public entities to issue bonds that feature federal income tax credits to help cover the outlay for the deployments.
The report's release is apparently timed in hopes it will be considered as part of a massive federal economic stimulus and infrastructure construction measure being readied by Congress for President-elect Barack Obama's signature soon after he takes office later this month.
The report cites data compiled by Morgan Stanley estimating the U.S. residential broadband penetration rate at approximately 56 percent of all households, projected to grow to 61.1 percent by 2011. Without the proposed tax incentives, an average of 7.3 million homes (equal to six percent of all households) will lack broadband access from 2009 through 2011 without the proposed tax incentives, the study concludes citing Morgan Stanley estimates.
What's odd about the study considering it was done for an organization promoting the use of fiber is that it also examines the effect of tax incentives directed at upgrading and building out existing metal wire-based cable and telco DSL infrastructure offering throughput of 5 Mbs down and 1 Mbs up.
As this blog recently asserted, federal incentives and funding should be targeted to local private and public sector entities with the specific goal of modernizing telecommunications infrastructure over the last mile. History has shown that tax and other financial incentives put in place as part of the federal Telecommunications Act of 1996 failed to provide adequate impetus for large incumbent telcos to build out broadband infrastructure to serve all homes and businesses, leading to the current problem of widespread and persistent broadband black holes.
Wednesday, January 07, 2009
Netflix and Blockbuster video over Internet still not ready for prime time, but a viable a la carte VOD alternative to cable, telco TV
Reuters reports today that Blockbuster is joining rival Netflix in offering video on demand over high speed Internet connections as an alternative to renting DVDs.
This is clearly where viewing films at home is headed. But over the foreseeable, it's going to be logistically constrained to a small market segment: those areas where broadband connections offer adequate bandwidth to support downloading of standard and especially high definition video content.
On line delivery of video on demand provided by these vendors also offers an alternative to those who don't wish to pay for video programming packages offered by cable and telco TV players and instead prefer to take their video a la carte.
This is clearly where viewing films at home is headed. But over the foreseeable, it's going to be logistically constrained to a small market segment: those areas where broadband connections offer adequate bandwidth to support downloading of standard and especially high definition video content.
On line delivery of video on demand provided by these vendors also offers an alternative to those who don't wish to pay for video programming packages offered by cable and telco TV players and instead prefer to take their video a la carte.
Tuesday, January 06, 2009
Alabama governor announces initiative to boost broadband availability
Here's the news release issued by Alabama Gov. Bob Riley and an AP story based on the release. According to the AP story, the initiative -- funded mostly by federal grants -- will fund the deployment of both wireline and wireless broadband infrastructure in unserved and underserved areas of the state.
Riley has apparently grown frustrated at the lack of broadband access in Alabama, which according to Federal Communications Commission ranked among the lowest of all states as of June 2007 -- the most recent period for which the FCC has released data -- measured on wireline-based telco broadband availability.
Riley has apparently grown frustrated at the lack of broadband access in Alabama, which according to Federal Communications Commission ranked among the lowest of all states as of June 2007 -- the most recent period for which the FCC has released data -- measured on wireline-based telco broadband availability.
Tuesday, December 30, 2008
Guiding principles for U.S. broadband infrastructure economic stimulus
As Congressional leaders and the incoming administration of U.S. President-elect Barack Obama mull economic stimulus legislation including a portion of which is expected to be devoted to telecommunications infrastructure to boost broadband Internet access, I offer these guiding principles:
1. The focus should be on the so-called "last mile" or local access network portion of the system. There's a broad consensus that the lack of adequate broadband access in the United States is due to technological shortcomings on this segment of the telecommunications infrastructure, its weakest link. The overall goal should be full build out of this currently incomplete but vital infrastructure to serve all residents and businesses.
2. The "copper wall" that comprises the last mile telecommunications infrastructure is the primary barrier to wider broadband Internet access. It has been obsolete for about a decade and will become increasingly so as demand for broadband access and more bandwidth intensive content like video grows. The copper wall should be torn down and replaced with fiber optic cable, either aerial or buried depending on local construction cost factors and neighborhood preferences. Calls by large telcos for funding for DSL over copper should be rejected. Funding for such projects would keep the U.S. lagging behind other developed nations on broadband telecommunications technology and constitute an economic bailout to build increasingly obsolete technology rather than a true stimulus.
3. The last mile is the most local element of the nation's telecommunications infrastructure. Accordingly, stimulus should favor local entities to replace copper with fiber such as locally owned private companies, local governments and fiber cooperatives, the latter aided by incentives to encourage homeowner-owned fiber over the last mile.
The 12 year period following the enactment of the 1996 Telecommunications Reform Act has shown providing tax breaks and other incentives to large publicly traded telcos has not resulted in adequate capital expenditure on infrastructure to serve the nation's future telecommunications needs or the selection of broadband technology best suited to do so.
As for private providers, Congress and the Obama administration should note that even generous subsidies to incumbent telcos to build out broadband infrastructure may prove indequate as seen from their less than enthusiastic response to a California Public Utilities Commission program that subsidizes broadband deployments in unserved and underserved areas with a surcharge on intrastate voice long distance calls.
The investment cycle of these companies is apparently too short to earn a return on broadband infrastructure investment even at the 40 percent funding level provided by the program -- and even for arguably obsolete DSL equipment proposed in the handful of projects approved by the CPUC in 2008. Accordingly, broadband infrastructure stimulus funding directed to community-based cooperatives, nonprofits and local governments would likely produce the most rapid deployments.
1. The focus should be on the so-called "last mile" or local access network portion of the system. There's a broad consensus that the lack of adequate broadband access in the United States is due to technological shortcomings on this segment of the telecommunications infrastructure, its weakest link. The overall goal should be full build out of this currently incomplete but vital infrastructure to serve all residents and businesses.
2. The "copper wall" that comprises the last mile telecommunications infrastructure is the primary barrier to wider broadband Internet access. It has been obsolete for about a decade and will become increasingly so as demand for broadband access and more bandwidth intensive content like video grows. The copper wall should be torn down and replaced with fiber optic cable, either aerial or buried depending on local construction cost factors and neighborhood preferences. Calls by large telcos for funding for DSL over copper should be rejected. Funding for such projects would keep the U.S. lagging behind other developed nations on broadband telecommunications technology and constitute an economic bailout to build increasingly obsolete technology rather than a true stimulus.
3. The last mile is the most local element of the nation's telecommunications infrastructure. Accordingly, stimulus should favor local entities to replace copper with fiber such as locally owned private companies, local governments and fiber cooperatives, the latter aided by incentives to encourage homeowner-owned fiber over the last mile.
The 12 year period following the enactment of the 1996 Telecommunications Reform Act has shown providing tax breaks and other incentives to large publicly traded telcos has not resulted in adequate capital expenditure on infrastructure to serve the nation's future telecommunications needs or the selection of broadband technology best suited to do so.
As for private providers, Congress and the Obama administration should note that even generous subsidies to incumbent telcos to build out broadband infrastructure may prove indequate as seen from their less than enthusiastic response to a California Public Utilities Commission program that subsidizes broadband deployments in unserved and underserved areas with a surcharge on intrastate voice long distance calls.
The investment cycle of these companies is apparently too short to earn a return on broadband infrastructure investment even at the 40 percent funding level provided by the program -- and even for arguably obsolete DSL equipment proposed in the handful of projects approved by the CPUC in 2008. Accordingly, broadband infrastructure stimulus funding directed to community-based cooperatives, nonprofits and local governments would likely produce the most rapid deployments.
Friday, December 19, 2008
Media reform group recommends $44 billion broadband "down payment"
Free Press, a nonprofit group that advocates "diverse and independent media ownership, strong public media and universal access to communications," has issued a paper calling on the Obama administration and Congress to make a $44 billion "down payment" investment in U.S. broadband telecommunications infrastructure as part of the incoming administration's planned economic stimulus package.
Free Press plan recommends the bulk of the $44 billion be used to fund grants and interest free bonds to private sector providers as well as municipalities and nonprofits fund deployment of wireline and wireless broadband to underserved areas of the U.S. capable of providing minimum 5 Mbps symmetrical service with priority
given to projects that can deliver speeds in excess of 50 Mbps. The funding would be paid out over three years.
Free Press properly raises the concern that the funds could end up becoming a slush fund and like the Universal Service Fund has for voice telephone service could be used to fund broadband infrastructure in areas that already have a range of broadband services.
"Congress must not simply write blank checks to industry," the organization states in an executive summary of the report. "To maximize the effectiveness of scarce taxpayer resources, oversight and accountability measures must be established." Free Press suggests these measures include strict build-out schedules and affordability and capacity requirements, including minimum rather than "up to" throughput capacities.
"We offer these proposals as a starting point — not the bottom line," the group states. "Our hope is to expand the public debate and the deliberative process on broadband stimulus proposals to include a wide variety of ideas that have been put forward or are coming soon. Though we strongly believe that principles of accountability, future-proof quality, and public service priorities must guide any final legislation, this set of ideas should serve as a foundation for policymakers and the public."
Free Press plan recommends the bulk of the $44 billion be used to fund grants and interest free bonds to private sector providers as well as municipalities and nonprofits fund deployment of wireline and wireless broadband to underserved areas of the U.S. capable of providing minimum 5 Mbps symmetrical service with priority
given to projects that can deliver speeds in excess of 50 Mbps. The funding would be paid out over three years.
Free Press properly raises the concern that the funds could end up becoming a slush fund and like the Universal Service Fund has for voice telephone service could be used to fund broadband infrastructure in areas that already have a range of broadband services.
"Congress must not simply write blank checks to industry," the organization states in an executive summary of the report. "To maximize the effectiveness of scarce taxpayer resources, oversight and accountability measures must be established." Free Press suggests these measures include strict build-out schedules and affordability and capacity requirements, including minimum rather than "up to" throughput capacities.
"We offer these proposals as a starting point — not the bottom line," the group states. "Our hope is to expand the public debate and the deliberative process on broadband stimulus proposals to include a wide variety of ideas that have been put forward or are coming soon. Though we strongly believe that principles of accountability, future-proof quality, and public service priorities must guide any final legislation, this set of ideas should serve as a foundation for policymakers and the public."
Tuesday, December 16, 2008
Another sign of the coming end of AT&T's U-Verse
In late September, this blog predicted AT&T will abandon its Project Lightspeed/U-Verse deployment sometime in the first half of 2010 as part of a general retreat from the wireline-based residential/home office market segment.
Another sign of the coming end of the U-Verse universe emerged this week when AT&T pushed back -- again -- the rollout of VDSL copper pair bonding technology to extend the range and throughput of its bundled IP-based U-Verse product. The new target date is sometime next year, the second delay after a planned late 2007 deployment was pushed back a year.
The obstacle is the same one that has plagued AT&T 's ADSL service: not enough good, clean copper in the telco's last mile cable plant, much of it put in place decades ago to support POTS (Plain Old Telephone Service) and never expected to support advanced digital services like ADSL let alone U-Verse. Telephony Online explains:
Another sign of the coming end of the U-Verse universe emerged this week when AT&T pushed back -- again -- the rollout of VDSL copper pair bonding technology to extend the range and throughput of its bundled IP-based U-Verse product. The new target date is sometime next year, the second delay after a planned late 2007 deployment was pushed back a year.
The obstacle is the same one that has plagued AT&T 's ADSL service: not enough good, clean copper in the telco's last mile cable plant, much of it put in place decades ago to support POTS (Plain Old Telephone Service) and never expected to support advanced digital services like ADSL let alone U-Verse. Telephony Online explains:
Perhaps a more pressing limitation, however, is the simple requirement for extra pairs of existing copper, which are not in plentiful supply in AT&T’s network outside the territory of the former BellSouth, where extra pairs were deployed extensively in the 1990s to accomodate dialup and fax services.
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