ISPs target remote areas of Northern California for state subsidized broadband infrastructure

A review of broadband infrastructure projects filed by the July 24 soft application deadline for 40 percent buildout subsidies from the California Advanced Services Fund to service unserved and underserved areas of the state shows nearly all of the proposed projects are located in Northern California. Most are in ZIP Codes and census tracts in North Coast counties and heavily concentrated in remote Sierra Nevada counties.

The providers -- whose identities remain under wraps until the close of the application process being overseen by the California Public Utilities Commission -- have apparently chosen to deploy outside of metro areas where they believe they could face near term competition from the telco/cable duopoly. That unfortunately means for those mired in broadband black holes where telcos and/or cable companies have limited, incomplete broadband infrastructure in parts of metro area counties such as the Sierra Nevada foothill counties of El Dorado and Placer and portions of Silicon Valley, relief doesn't appear likely anytime soon from one of these subsidized ISPs. In El Dorado County alone, for example, the California Broadband Task Force identified more than five dozen communities that aren't provided any wireline broadband services -- and that's not counting the numerous broadband black holes adjacent to U.S Highway 50.

Providers seeking the CASF funding were allowed to propose either wireline or wireless broadband projects providing minimum throughput of 3 Mbs down and 1 Mbs up.

Update 9/3/08: The CPUC has released ZIP Codes, Maps and Census Block Groups for proposed projects filed by the Aug. 25 soft deadline that would build out broadband infrastructure to underserved areas, which the CPUC defines as those where broadband is available but no facilities-based provider offers service at asymmetrical speeds of at least 3 Mbs for downloads and 1 Mbs on the upload side.

As with the proposals for unserved areas, defined as defined those not served by any form of facilities-based broadband, or where
Internet connectivity is available only through dial-up service or satellite, the vast majority of the proposed projects for underserved areas are situated in Northern California. This latest batch of proposals is heavily concentrated in Sierra Nevada and Sierra Nevada foothill counties including Toulumne, Mariposa, Amador and Calavaras counties.

Will state broadband subsidies have meaningful impact?

Massachusetts appears set to join California among states providing subsidies to expand broadband telecommunications infrastructure where little or none exists.

The Berkshire Eagle of Pittsfield, Massachusetts reports Bay State lawmakers have sent Gov. Deval L. Patrick legislation that would provide $40 million to help underwrite the cost of building infrastructure in the notorious sprawling broadband black hole in the western part of the state. According to the newspaper, the goal of the legislation, signed into law today by Patrick, is to wire 32 unserved communities with high-speed broadband in the next two years.

Out on the left coast, a deadline passed July 24 for providers to submit proposals to the California Public Utilities Commission under which they would receive a 40 percent subsidy to deploy either wireline or wireless-based broadband infrastruture capable of speeds of at least 3 Mbs down and 1 Mbs up. Priority will be given first to unserved areas and then underserved areas. The $100 million California Advanced Services Fund is funded by a surcharge on telephone bills. The CPUC is expected to announce those projects selected for funding by the fall or later this year.

Given the high cost of broadband telecommunications infrastructure, it remains to be seen if these relatively small state subsidies can make a signficant dent in both states' many broadband black spots. Some believe broadband market failure is so pervasive that a much broader, larger federal initiative similar to the Eisenhower-era federal highway act is needed to bring America into the modern age of Internet-based telecommunications and are urging presidential candidates to back such a program.

AT&T sees WiMAX as solution for less densely populated areas of U.S.

As AT&T's copper plant has been neglected outside of metro area cores, there has been much speculation about the big telco's future plans for it. Particularly since much of it is too deteriorated and unreliable to support weak Digital Subscriber Line (DSL) signals that degrade quickly over distance. In addition, AT&T has not been upgrading its copper plant to support its fiber/copper hybrid Project Lightspeed/U-Verse IPTV/voice/data bundled service outside of the limited metro areas where it's deploying U-Verse.

AT&T's new technology chief John Donovan is making AT&T's view of the future its aged copper cable plant in these regions more clear in a published interview with USA Today: It's a costly, obsolete albatross -- a legacy of the analog era of plain old telephone service (POTS).

Now that AT&T defines itself more as a wireless than wireline carrier, wireless is naturally viewed as the logical copper cable replacement strategy. At the top of the list, USA Today quotes Donovan as saying, is WiMAX, which AT&T apparently sees as a longer range and more robust solution for both fixed and mobile voice and data services outside of densely populated areas. In the latter, the telco will likely deploy its planned 4G Long Term Evolution (LTE) cellular service that is expected to provide far faster Internet connections than its current 3G system that itself isn't universally deployed in AT&T's 22-state territory.

Donovan told the newspaper WiMAX appears particularly well suited to rural areas of the U.S. where it's becoming prohibitively expensive to maintain copper.

Reports last year suggested Ma Bell planned to ramp up her WiMAX deployments starting earlier this year after initial rollouts in the Fairbanks, Alaska area and parts of the former Bellsouth territory AT&T acquired at the end of 2006.

Telecompetitor speculates that AT&T's interest in WiMAX as a replacement for copper cable represents the start of a "coordinated rural market divestiture strategy."

Report: AT&T reduces investment in Project Lightspeed, concentrates spending on existing U-Verse deployments

While AT&T is making its triple play U-Verse its core wireline focus, at the same time it's throttling back investment in Project Lightspeed, the VDSL-based fiber to the node (FTTN) infrastruce that supports U-Verse.

Instead, spending is being redirected to selling and supporting customers in the limited areas where U-Verse has been deployed, writes Bob Wallace in xchange:

AT&T recently announced it is cutting capital spending by hundreds of millions, but didn’t disclose specifically how that will affect its FTTx plans. AT&T said roughly a year ago that all new builds would use an FTTN architecture, but with these cuts in capital spending more folks likely will have to get by with copper links. However, AT&T is hiring big for U-verse in areas including customer service and call centers, help desk staff and technicians to install the service. That plays toward customer retention and easy adds.

“We know the capex slowdown will impact how many homes AT&T can pass with U-verse throughout 2008 and early 2009,” said Jeff Heynen, directing analyst for IPTV and Next Gen BSS/OSS for Infonetics Research. “However, right now the priority is signing up subscribers in the areas where they do pass the majority of homes. Their subscriber ramp continues to get better, as it should.”

Coalition calls on next U.S. administration to adopt broadband expansion strategy

Two weeks after the National Association of Telecommunications Officers & Advisors (NATOA) declared the U.S. is at a crisis point on the future of its telecommunications infrastructure, another organization is calling for the next administration to make broadband access an "early and high-level priority."

As with the NATOA, the nternet Innovation Alliance (IIA) advcocates a national broadband strategy it says should be comprised of a "coherent set of policies and goals to accelerate universal adoption of high speed Internet." The IIA calls on the next administration to provide investment incentives and encourage public-private partnerships to expand broadband infrastructure and availability.

“We are at a critical moment in our nation’s history,” said Bruce Mehlman, co-chair of the IIA, which describes itself as a broad-based coalition of business and non-profit organizations. “To compete and win in the 21^st century, we must ensure the United States capitalizes on the extraordinary economic, technological and societal opportunities presented by broadband. The benefits are undeniable and compelling.”

Ironically, one of IIA's members is AT&T, whose failure to invest in upgrading its infrastructure, particularly over the last mile to homes and businesses, is a major cause of the pathetic state of U.S. broadband access.

Self perpetuating broadband black holes a product of telcos' cynical digital redlining strategy

Since late 2006 and again this week, there have been reports of slowing growth in U.S. wireline broadband subscribers and particularly those using telco-provided Digital Subscriber Line (DSL) service. Analysts and other observers have blamed the demand side of the market, attributing the decline to a slowing economy and market saturation.

There's likely a better explanation -- and it's on the supply side of the equation. Since 2006, DSL deployments by the tier 1 telcos such as AT&T and Verizon have been slowing and are now all but halted as the companies concentrate on building out their triple play (U-Verse and FiOS, respectively) infrastructures in a relative few selected markets.

For those unfortunate enough to reside or do business in these companies' service territories where they don't offer wireline broadband connections, there's another factor at work: the self perpetuating broadband black hole. They're the natural product of the telcos' digital redlining strategy.

Since the big telcos don't do market research, they rely on what they term as "pent up demand" for services. As the broadband boom unfolded at the start of the decade, pent up demand grew. Right around the time of the first reports of a broadband "slowdown" began appearing, that pent up demand had likely recently peaked. Folks who have been asking for wireline broadband connections over a period of 5-7 years and have yet to obtain them by mid-2008 have likely concluded they never will. So they stop asking for service, ignore misguided ads for telco broadband, and pent up demand for broadband falls away. The telcos can then cynically point to the falling demand to justify their continued failure to deploy broadband infrastructure to these redlined neighborhoods.