Analysis & commentary on America's troubled transition from analog telephone service to digital advanced telecommunications and associated infrastructure deficits.
Thursday, February 28, 2008
Vermont towns strive to enter modern era of telecommunications
According to the AP, a financial institution would finance the system and lease it back to the nonprofit, which would cover the lease with subscriber fees that would run around $120 a month for a "triple play" bundle of TV programming, voice and Internet service.
Tuesday, February 26, 2008
Firm claims to give new lease on life to DSL--at "up to" 400 Mbs
The company elaborates in a press release issued today:
High quality television over copper telephone lines can be a reality for Telcos using Bonded DSL Rings(TM). Bandwidths of up to 400 megabits per second - at a cost much lower than fiber - are achievable using BDR. This will allow Telcos to compete head-to-head with cable companies at a price point that is attractive to consumers and very profitable for Telcos.The company claims it demonstrated BDR's viability in proof of concept demonstrations at trade shows in 2007. The real proof of concept as this company likely well knows is whether telcos buy its claimed breakthrough that provides extended life to DSL, an interim wireline broadband technology on the road to fiber.
There have been a number of companies claiming breakthroughs such as this in DSL technology. Given the fact that copper is a poor transmission medium for broadband due to the tendency for signals to degrade quickly over short distances, such claims should be met with a healthy degree of skepticism.
In addition, a diagram of the technology's components at the Genesis Web site shows it requires remote field equipment. The telcos have long had remote DSL terminals. The issue isn't lack of technology but rather an unwillingness on the part of the telcos to invest in infrastructure and equipment to deliver broadband.
Monday, February 25, 2008
Local government units could build own broadband infrastructure under proposed California legislation
SB 1191 would allow allow CSDs to "acquire, own, improve, maintain, and operate broadband facilities and to provide broadband services, until a private person or entity is ready, willing, and able to acquire, construct, improve, maintain, and operate broadband facilities and to provide broadband services, and to sell those services at a comparable cost and quality of service to the district and its property owners, residents, and visitors." If and when a qualified private broadband provider steps up and shows an interest in serving the community, the legislation requires the CSD to sell or lease its broadband infrastructure to the provider at fair market value.
In 2007, a California Court of Appeal ruling cleared the way for public utility districts to provide advanced telecommunications services, rejecting a legal challenge by a cable TV company.
Saturday, February 23, 2008
AT&T has itself to blame and not economy for slowing residential wireline revenues
That doesn't exactly square with a forecast by the Telecommunications Industry Association (TIA), which said yesterday that the telecommunications industry should see strong growth over the next three years, driven largely by increasing demand for broadband.
Reports Grant Gross of IDG News Service:
The trade group expects the worldwide telecom market to grow to $4.6 trillion by 2011, compared to about $3.9 trillion in 2006. About $1.3 trillion of the 2011 market will come from the United States, the TIA said.
Driving these increases will be broadband, with its consumption doubling in 2006 and quadrupling again in 2007, said Arthur Gruen of Wilkofsky Gruen Associates, a consultancy that focuses on telecom and other industries. Video and entertainment applications are pushing customers to buy more broadband and telecom providers to build more capacity, he said.
AT&T can hardly blame the economy when it chooses to sit back and milk existing revenues and depreciation from its aging copper cable based system rather than aggressively growing its residential business.
Monday, February 18, 2008
Lack of patient capital condemns AT&T to also ran status in coverged IP services
The reason: a lack of "patient capital" that the company needs to upgrade its network -- particularly over the final segments before it reaches customer premises.
With digital convergence blurring industry boundaries, telecom providers now believe they can expand their addressable market to include areas of media and advertising that were once beyond their reach. Many telecom operators are investing in digital content with the expectation of offsetting declines in voice revenues.
The most promising areas of advanced content services are television and video. However, delivering all but the most basic digital content services over networks that were originally designed for voice communications and Web browsing is challenging, and telecom operators are having to upgrade their networks to compete. The returns on these network upgrade investments remain uncertain and are likely to be positive only in the long term.
"Positive only in the long term" means patient investment capital. However, a recent analysis by DSL Prime's Dave Burstein found an absence of such funding at AT&T. Rather than increasing spending on its infrastructure, Burstein found the company instead slashed capital expenditures by 50 percent since 2002, which explains AT&T's abandonment of its planned system wide DSL deployment dubbed "Project Pronto."
Sunday, February 17, 2008
Tennessee broadband build out debate highlights conflict between public and private interests
The redlined areas will likely remain unconnected for decades from AT&T's new U-Verse fiber and copper based service offering IPTV, voice and high speed Internet. AT&T denies it redlines in the dozen states where it has rolled out U-Verse. Wrong, according to a couple of industry analysts quoted in the story. AT&T lacks patient capital to invest in providing a wider base of U-Verse service and therefore installs U-Verse infrastructure in selected areas only where it believes it will get the quickest return on investment.
This story aptly illustrates the clash between public and private interests that has produced the incomplete and balkanized crazy quilt telecommunications infrastructure that has effectively divided the U.S. into two nations: one with access to advanced telecommunications services based on broadband Internet and one without. Public policymakers are rightly concerned about this situation given the increasingly important role of broadband access to the economy.