Monday, December 13, 2021

America mired in telecom infrastructure incrementalism due to misaligned incentives, lack of commitment and lowered expectations

Three decades into the 21st century and a digital socio-economy, the United States remains unlikely to timely modernize its legacy copper telephone lines that reach nearly every American doorstep to fiber to the premises (FTTP). Instead of world class advanced telecommunications infrastructure, the nation is mired in incrementalism amid a patchwork of isolated pockets of fiber connecting only a third of all U.S homes. The nation will likely remain that way for the foreseeable barring a major change in public policy.

These are the root causes:
  1. The issue is defined by its primary symptom – insufficient “broadband” bandwidth – instead of the lack of FTTP infrastructure that constrains bandwidth.

  2. Overreliance on vertically integrated, investor-owned providers lacking both incentive and adequate resources to build out FTTP. They lack incentive because there is no regulatory requirement like that for legacy voice telephone service to provide service to customers requesting it. Internet protocol-based telecommunications are not regulated as a common carrier utility but rather an elective information service like a cable TV package. They lack capital expansion funds because their shareholders are averse to spending them and expect an ongoing stream of high earnings and dividends. They also lack the ability to finance new infrastructure due to balance sheets already overburdened with debt.

  3. Localities have incentive to build fiber to serve their residents and promote economic development. But they lack resources to do so and the ability to raise tax dollars to finance its construction due to tax resistance/exhaustion. Consequently, some planning is done but most don’t proceed or are undertaken as limited scope "pilot projects." Federal and state governments reinforce limited local infrastructure by awarding grants for builds in "unserved" and "underserved" areas as determined by advertised throughput claims of commercial providers. (See #1).

  4. Finally, lowered expectations of progress, even on the part of those who advocate for it. The fatalistic thinking is significant progress on infrastructure cannot be had because large vertically integrated telephone and cable companies determine telecom policy and favor a conservative approach due to #2. Progressives settle for limited local builds as small victories, further locking in incrementalism.

Saturday, December 11, 2021

Biden administration, Congress have more to do on advanced telecom infrastructure in 2022

The Biden administration and Congress should enact legislation in 2022 that specifically focuses on advanced telecommunications infrastructure (ATI) and targets sufficient funding to federal and state agencies with the goal of rapidly modernizing legacy telephone copper that reaches nearly every American doorstep to fiber.

The ATI components of Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act (IIJA) enacted in November won’t achieve that. There isn’t enough funding to do the job. In California, for example, Sen. Alex Padilla estimates the IIJA would bring only $1 billion to the nation’s largest state for ATI. Much more – probably four times the total $45 billion appropriated – is needed for the nation as a whole.

In addition, the IIJA fails to specify an infrastructure-based standard for ATI which might be reasonably expected in an infrastructure measure. Instead, it sets a throughput-based service level standard that will create controversy and delay over how grant money the bill appropriates to the states is to be spent. That service level standard will leave many American homes with substandard infrastructure and render them ineligible for fiber projects able meet their future needs and to obtain maximum long-term value for taxpayer dollars. Cable TV and wireless internet service providers have provided a partial and temporary solution to fill fiber gaps -- but are just that.

The 2022 legislation should establish and fund federal-state regional ATI projects. These large scale government owned networks can bring the necessary purchasing power and economies of scale to speed construction of fiber ATI amid labor and material supply chain constraints. Only about one third of all American homes have access to fiber connections that should have reached all but the most remote by 2010.

These projects should build open access fiber networks and give large telephone companies that know how to design, build and operate fiber networks at scale opportunity to competitively bid for contracts to do the work. Government ownership of the networks avoids the inherent conflict of interest in directly funding these investor-owned firms that must place the interests of their shareholders ahead of the broader public’s when it comes to spending public dollars.

These companies and their employees would additionally benefit if the 2022 legislation established a national fiber corps and training programs to form a workforce to bolster the ranks of experienced technicians that have been depleted over the past two decades.

The bill should also contain elements to ensure rapid coordination of permitting needed across federal, state and local jurisdictions. As it stands now, multiple permits are required to construct ATI that can snarl and delay projects for years. The IIJA establishes an Interagency Infrastructure Permitting Improvement Center to implement reforms to improve interagency coordination and expedite projects relating to the permitting and environmental review of major transportation infrastructure projects. The 2022 legislation should expand its scope to include federal-state ATI projects.

Thursday, December 09, 2021

IIJA challenge process sets stage for battles between WISPs and telcos

The advanced telecommunications infrastructure (ATI) component of the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act (IIJA) allows for challenges of proposed projects that request states award 75 percent grant subsidies appropriated for ATI in the bill. Challengers can claim a proposed project does not meet the funding eligibility standard of at least 80 percent of premises within the project scope as being “unserved." That's defined as being unable to obtain reliable service with a minimum throughput of 25 Mbps/3Mbps with latency sufficient to support real-time, interactive applications. The statute authorizes states to adjudicate challenges. The National Telecommunications and Information Administration can reverse state determinations and modify the challenge process.

The challenge process sets the stage for battles between fixed Wireless Internet Service Providers (WISPs) and telephone companies once the funding becomes available next year. Verizon, AT&T are looking at C-band spectrum as a cheaper alternative to building fiber to the home. Should these telcos seek IIJA grant subsidies to expand their fixed premise wireless presence using C-band spectrum as AT&T CEO John Stankey suggested this week, WISPs could conceivably contest proposed projects as ineligible because WISPs already offer service meeting the minimum throughput standard. WISPs could use the same rationale to challenge proposed telco fiber to the premise (FTTP) builds using IIJA subsidy funds. Either way, FTTP deployment – already decades behind where it should be in terms of modernizing legacy copper telephone lines and building capacity for future bandwidth demand – would be further delayed.

WISPs are likely to view both IIJA subsidized telco expansion scenarios as an existential threat to their business model. Telcos could easily undercut their relatively high monthly rates for fixed prem wireless service. Telcos also benefit from greater economies of scale and lower costs since they could deploy their own fiber backhaul circuits. And telco owned FTTP would decimate WISPs since most customers would quickly switch to telco fiber once it became available and at lower monthly rates than WISP service. 

The forthcoming fixed wireless fights -- and most importantly the prolonged delay of modernizing copper to fiber -- could be avoided if the IIJA was revised to establish an FTTP infrastructure subsidy eligibility standard rather than the throughput-based standard in the bill as enacted.