Saturday, February 04, 2023

Fiber flippers: Private equity investment in FTTP

For market-based providers, a fundamental reason why the modernization of legacy copper telecommunications delivery infrastructure to fiber has been slow is lack of patient investment capital. Shareholders of the dominant telephone and cable companies that operate as rent seeking natural monopolies are reluctant to upgrade and build out fiber in the service territories of these companies. These are risk averse, impatient investors who expect a quick return on capital investment within five years or so. They fear significant capex will erode their historically fat shareholder dividends that are a feature of these rent seeking natural monopolies. That short investment timeline is poorly aligned with investing in infrastructure with its large upfront costs and long wait for ROI, notwithstanding the lower opex costs of fiber modernization from legacy metallic plant.

In a similar vein, one would not expect relatively impatient investment capital in the form private equity and asset management firms would find investing in fiber to the premise (FTTP) infrastructure appealing. But it’s ironically occurring.

A prominent example is AT&T’s recently announced joint venture with the asset management firm Blackrock, Gigapower. Blackrock will take some of the capex burden off AT&T shareholders to allow the company to increase fiber deployments including in areas not within AT&T’s traditional service territory. Here, Blackrock is effectively serving as a bridge capital provider, stumping up capex dollars that AT&T would be reluctant to make out of its own funds in order to boost revenues. While the terms and conditions of the deal are not public, Blackrock would likely sell its stake to AT&T after several years, with AT&T paying a premium on that investment in order to capture more FTTP customers during that period than it might otherwise on its own.

Although Gigapower is nominally structured with an open access wholesale business model, AT&T will likely end up the sole service provider consistent with its current business model that recognizes owning the fiber connection to the customer means owning the customer.

Another example is playing out in the WISP space. Private investment company GI Partners recently acquired Rise Broadband with an eye on fibering its fixed wireless customer base. “GI Partners is committing meaningful new capital to improve customer experience and accelerate Rise Broadband’s rollout of fiber-to-the-home services for rural American homes and businesses,” GI Partners said in a news release this week announcing the deal. “Rise’s existing network infrastructure is uniquely positioned to execute a fiber expansion effort that will provide rural communities with next generation broadband service.” Investing in WISPs appears logical in that by definition, residential WISP customers are not passed by fiber, thus offering fiber deployers first mover advantage. That new fiber could in turn be flipped to a larger provider looking to roll up a larger customer base.

In July 2022, private equity firm Oak Hill Capital announced that it formed Omni Fiber “to bring to market a new option for high-speed Internet service in small and mid-sized markets in the Midwest that have historically been underserved by the large phone and cable companies.” The firm said its $250 million investment will “bring state-of-the-art fiber Internet, TV, and phone services to homes and businesses in communities across the Midwest.”

While some of these private FTTP investment deals will likely look to states for a share of the $43.45 billion appropriated as grants to the states in the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act of 2021 (IIJA) for advanced telecommunications infrastructure, Oak Hill said Omni Fiber “will not need to rely on grants or subsidies from federal, state, or local governments to build its network.”

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