On telecom infrastructure modernization, politics of "good enough" likely to prevail at expense of FTTP

Despite the enactment of the Biden administration’s Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act (IIJA) one year ago, the United States is unlikely to show significant progress over the foreseeable in modernizing its legacy metallic telephone and cable TV distribution infrastructure to fiber to the premises (FTTP) for advanced telecommunications. Here are some of the reasons:

• Policymakers will likely argue that getting American homes connected as quickly as possible – the urgent need shown during pandemic restrictions – is paramount and hence any technology that can do that is “good enough.” They’ll also argue that fixed terrestrial wireless (FWA) and satellite delivered connectivity have demonstrated their ability to do that, particularly in areas that meet the legislation’s Broadband Equity, Access, and Deployment (BEAD) Program (BEAD) primary eligibility standard for construction subsidies (>80% of prems are unable to order service with throughput of 25/3 Mbps or greater). That could also lead to efforts to regulate the rates for these technologies since they typically priced above landline delivered services.
  
  
• Fixed wireless – licensed or not – and satellite will be deemed “good enough” after intense lobbying of the federal and state governments over the BEAD subsidy eligibility standards. Notably, the director of the National Telecommunications and Information Administration (NTIA) – charged with overseeing the distribution of the subsidies – suggested satellite and fixed terrestrial wireless will have to suffice in some high cost areas of the nation.
  
  
• The FCC’s recently released “broadband map” that will determine eligibility for infrastructure construction subsidies designates areas currently served by satellite and mobile wireless providers offering licensed FWA as ineligible for funding.
  
  
• Coax cable and second generation DSL fiber to the curb (FTTC) infrastructure will also be deemed “good enough” over FTTP in more densely settled parts of the nation. The cable industry will continue to refine its DOCSIS signal compression technology and only invest in FTTP selectively in newly built residential subdivisions whereas just a couple of years ago, they were installing coax in newer developments.