Sunday, February 18, 2018

Forecast of holographic interactive video within five years a pipe dream

Magic Leap CEO thinks volumetric video will be a part of live TV in five years - The Verge: In an interview with The Verge, Abovitz said that within “two to five years,” it will be technically possible for people wearing Magic Leap goggles to watch an NBA game (or other media) live, but in a holographic, interactive form. “You can stream over the top and to the screens, the virtual screens — you can do that now,” he said. “We’re looking at, how do you derive the information to move the volumetric stuff from that? And then, how do you do volumetric live-streaming as well ... if you time where processing power is going, particularly backends, you’re single-digit years away from that happening.”
Processing power indeed continues as it has to increase. But Abovtitz neglects to consider telecommunications infrastructure deployment advances far more slowly. According to the U.S. Federal Communications Commission, many millions of American homes lack telecom infrastructure capable of supporting high quality data, voice and video.

Too many remain embarrassingly served by 1990s DSL over aging copper lines, satellite Internet and even dialup. An interactive holographic experience will require enormous bandwidth only fiber optic lines can deliver. But most premises lack fiber connections and there's no coordinated national effort to modernize America's aging and outdated legacy metallic telecom infrastructure to fiber.

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